Things looking generally better: Weekly Covid summary 18May20:

NEMiss.news Weekly covid summary 5-18-20
May 18th, 2020     Health & Wellness

New Albany MS Downward percentages continue both statewide for and locally, for Northeast Mississippi.

Though, as expected, raw numbers of new cases and deaths continue to climb, the percentage of increase in new cases and deaths has declined. This is good news and will be even better news if it continues apace.

5-11-2020 to 5-18-2020 lower percentages of increase

  • Mississippi statewide cases increased by 1758, a rise of 18%; the previous week cases rose 23%.
  • Mississippi statewide deaths increased by 93, a 21% increase; previous week deaths rose 40%
  • Northeast MS cases increased by 123, a 13% increase; previous week was up 15%
  • Northeast MS deaths increased by 12, a 16% rise; previous week’s rise was 24%

Nursing homes and other Long term Care (LTC)Facilities

  • Statewide:
    • This week LTC facilities account for 13% (1489) of active diagnosed cases statewide; they account for 48% (254) of Covid-19 deaths across Mississippi.  These percentages have been about stable since 5-10-2020 (death percent increases have fluctuated between 45-49%.)
  • Northeast MS
    • As of 5-18-2020, LTC facilities comprise 26% (271) of NEMS cases and 54% (46) of regional deaths.
    • On 5-11, LTC facilities had 27%  of cases and 53% of deaths.

What is the take-away today?

For a lot of reasons, LTC facilities statewide continue to struggle with Covid-19. However their numbers a generally improving. The number of facilities with active cases is stable, if not declining. Yet, here remain several “hot spot” facilities, and they are being addressed individually by health officials.

In Northeast MS 9 of the 15 counties have had no nursing home deaths. Three counties have a total of 160 cases diagnosed, none of which are in LTC facilities.

The state is entering its third week of reopening the economy. May 14th’s new cases popped up to 393, but have remained lower for the past 4 days. Because deaths are expected to continue to rise for some time, the key indicator of the future is the amount of current new cases.

The take-away is that , while nursing home facilities are a problem in many areas, they are not the only source of potential coronavirus infection. Just staying away from nursing homes, etc., does not guarantee safety. Mississippians who are concerned for their health and the health of others, particularly those who are vulnerable, should continue to take precautions–and we’ve all been indoctrinated on how to do that.

Weekly Covid-19 trending*: National, Mississippi, NE Miss.

Data file 5-4-20 5-11-20 5-18-20 5-25-20
USA             Cases  1,207,552 1,385,834 1,534,453
                  Deaths  69,374 81,795 91,268
MS               Cases  7877 +29%  9674 +23% 11,432  +18%
                  Deaths  310  +35%  435 +40% 528  + 21%
NE MS        Cases  810 +19%  930  +15% 1053  +13%
                  Deaths  59  +44%  73  +24% 85    +16%
Alcorn        Cases 10 10 12
                  Deaths  1 1
Benton       Cases  12  13 13
                  Deaths  0 0
Calhoun      Cases  56  58 58
                  Deaths  4  4 4
Chickasaw  Cases  78  93 116
                  Deaths  8  10 12
Clay            Cases  52  66 79
                  Deaths  2  3 3
Itawamba   Cases  64  69 79
                  Deaths  4  7 7
LaFayette   Cases  93  101 109
                  Deaths  3  3 3
Lee             Cases  72  80 93
                  Deaths  4  4 4
Marshall     Cases  48  56 67
                  Deaths  2  2 3
Monroe      Cases  175  199 220
                  Deaths  16  21 23
Pontotoc    Cases  22  23 25
                  Deaths  2  2 2
Prentiss      Cases  32  36 36
                  Deaths  1  2 3
Tippah        Cases 58  66 69
                  Deaths  10  11 11
Tishomingo  Cases  8  10 14
                   Deaths  0 0
Union          Cases  30  50 62
                   Deaths  2  3 4

*All state data is from MS State Department of Health and is as of 6 PM on the day prior to reporting National data is from World-O-Meter and is current as of date of our report.

PDF of Chart: Covid-19  March 30 – May 11

 

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